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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+6.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+5.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+0.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.50+4.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-0.09vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91-1.11vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-3.87vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-3.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.09vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.78-5.70vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.90vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.19Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.88Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.68SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.36Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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14.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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13.0Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Robby Meek | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Mason Stang | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Henry Lee | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 7.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 51.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 24.0% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.