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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+3.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91+4.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+0.52vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+0.40vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.50+2.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-2.04vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-1.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-2.79vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.10-1.31vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.78-4.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.07vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.98vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.69SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Mason Stang | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 7.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 50.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 24.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.