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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+7.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+2.49vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.10+6.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.83+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24-1.35vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.87-4.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78-1.49vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.04vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.50-2.61vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.01-5.42vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.07vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.90vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.28Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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8.51Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.93Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 9.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Henry Lee | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Jack Roman | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 18.7% | 46.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.