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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+5.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+5.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91+2.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.87-2.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.89vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01-1.51vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78-1.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.50-1.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-6.49vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.99vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.38vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.95vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.84Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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13.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.62SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.04Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Lee | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 16.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Roman | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Mason Stang | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 49.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.