Race 1A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 11.9% 12.8% 14.2% 14.9% 14.3% 11.4% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Cole Woodworth 16.2% 17.6% 16.2% 15.7% 12.0% 9.0% 6.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 7.1% 5.1% 7.8% 9.5% 8.6% 11.0% 14.7% 13.6% 11.5% 7.0% 3.1% 1.0%
Noah Kuzloski 5.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.6% 11.4% 14.6% 12.5% 9.9% 11.0% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Jacob Zils 21.6% 19.7% 16.8% 12.9% 11.5% 7.3% 4.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 20.7% 19.2% 16.9% 15.0% 9.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 2.4% 3.1% 5.6% 6.2% 8.6% 14.1% 15.3% 19.9% 17.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.5% 8.8% 8.9% 10.6% 14.0% 11.6% 12.2% 11.9% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Kenneth Buck 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.7% 9.9% 13.7% 14.8% 16.6% 14.6% 6.2%
Thomas Gallant 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 4.1% 6.7% 9.7% 19.2% 48.7%
Zach Earnshaw 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 2.3% 3.4% 4.6% 6.3% 8.4% 13.0% 18.5% 21.0% 17.6%
Richard Kalich 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 2.2% 5.1% 5.6% 9.6% 13.3% 14.5% 17.0% 16.9% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.