Race 2A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Woodworth 16.7% 14.6% 17.0% 14.1% 13.6% 9.4% 7.4% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 1.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 11.6% 15.4% 17.7% 14.1% 8.3%
Sophia Devling 21.0% 18.7% 15.0% 13.8% 14.0% 8.4% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 11.6% 15.5% 15.7% 14.4% 13.4% 11.3% 7.9% 4.7% 4.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 3.4% 2.3% 4.6% 6.1% 10.7% 12.0% 15.9% 22.1% 17.5%
Asher Green 6.1% 6.5% 7.7% 8.4% 9.3% 12.1% 14.6% 13.9% 11.6% 6.3% 2.9% 0.6%
Jacob Zils 21.6% 20.7% 16.5% 13.1% 11.0% 7.6% 5.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 7.0% 6.2% 7.9% 9.5% 10.5% 10.4% 12.3% 13.4% 11.6% 7.0% 3.4% 0.8%
Kenneth Buck 2.6% 1.3% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 9.0% 10.4% 14.2% 13.5% 15.8% 15.9% 6.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 11.9% 11.0% 13.3% 13.0% 10.0% 8.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 1.4% 2.1% 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 5.1% 5.5% 8.7% 14.0% 18.9% 20.5% 16.6%
Thomas Gallant 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 11.4% 19.4% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.