Race 3A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Zils 21.1% 20.5% 17.8% 14.4% 12.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 5.9% 5.3% 8.2% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5% 13.3% 13.0% 10.0% 4.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.3% 8.5% 10.6% 11.6% 12.6% 15.5% 12.3% 10.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sophia Devling 21.0% 21.0% 17.3% 14.6% 11.1% 7.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 14.3% 15.3% 15.2% 14.0% 12.8% 11.9% 7.8% 5.2% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.5% 9.4% 14.7% 15.3% 15.3% 13.2% 6.0%
Zach Earnshaw 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 6.1% 9.0% 10.4% 14.5% 15.6% 16.7% 13.3%
Matthew Collinson 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 6.5% 7.3% 11.6% 12.4% 14.7% 19.4% 14.6%
Jeremy Lunati 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 10.8% 10.1% 17.5% 15.6% 18.4% 11.4%
Cole Woodworth 17.3% 18.0% 17.2% 13.9% 13.9% 9.2% 6.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.3% 10.9% 13.1% 14.6% 17.6% 10.2% 7.7%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 3.7% 4.8% 7.0% 11.5% 18.4% 46.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.