Race 4A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophia Devling 21.2% 19.9% 17.7% 15.6% 11.8% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Rayne Duff 14.2% 14.3% 14.7% 15.7% 14.9% 10.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 17.6% 17.8% 17.2% 12.9% 14.5% 8.8% 7.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Asher Green 4.6% 7.6% 7.5% 10.7% 11.8% 14.9% 13.9% 11.8% 8.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Jacob Zils 22.2% 21.2% 15.8% 14.4% 10.4% 8.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.9% 2.1% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 9.6% 14.8% 15.9% 14.7% 12.1% 5.9%
Jeremy Lunati 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 6.1% 7.3% 11.4% 14.7% 16.0% 16.8% 14.1%
Zach Earnshaw 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 2.6% 4.7% 4.4% 9.3% 10.1% 13.5% 17.4% 18.1% 13.2%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 5.3% 9.4% 12.9% 14.5% 16.6% 13.3% 10.7% 5.9%
Matthew Collinson 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.0% 4.8% 8.4% 10.9% 12.6% 17.1% 20.1% 12.9%
Thomas Gallant 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 5.3% 8.0% 10.5% 18.3% 47.3%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.4% 8.1% 9.8% 12.6% 12.1% 16.2% 11.3% 10.7% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.