Race 5A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 12.9% 13.7% 11.9% 14.7% 14.5% 12.8% 9.1% 6.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 19.4% 20.9% 17.1% 14.5% 10.7% 8.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.9% 7.4% 9.7% 11.5% 11.7% 12.1% 15.7% 10.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Jacob Zils 21.6% 17.3% 17.1% 13.4% 12.6% 9.4% 4.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 17.3% 17.4% 15.3% 14.0% 13.0% 9.2% 6.1% 3.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 12.1% 16.6% 17.8% 13.9% 7.9%
Noah Kuzloski 6.6% 7.5% 7.6% 10.4% 9.9% 11.0% 12.3% 13.3% 10.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0%
Richard Kalich 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.1% 5.3% 7.5% 7.5% 13.4% 13.9% 17.0% 14.9% 8.2%
Zach Earnshaw 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 5.3% 8.1% 9.3% 13.6% 17.8% 21.0% 14.5%
Matthew Collinson 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 4.4% 6.6% 10.3% 11.1% 17.7% 21.8% 16.4%
Asher Green 5.2% 5.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.7% 12.0% 14.8% 12.6% 13.3% 6.6% 3.6% 1.2%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 5.8% 10.3% 19.5% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.