Race 6A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 12.5% 13.6% 11.9% 15.9% 14.4% 11.1% 10.0% 6.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Zils 19.7% 19.3% 18.4% 14.2% 10.1% 9.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.2% 7.5% 9.9% 11.7% 10.1% 14.0% 12.4% 11.9% 9.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Cole Woodworth 15.8% 19.2% 14.9% 13.6% 13.4% 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 1.4% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.2% 7.9% 11.8% 14.4% 17.3% 15.4% 8.8%
Sophia Devling 21.1% 17.9% 17.9% 13.2% 12.0% 8.7% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 7.0% 6.1% 8.3% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 14.0% 12.7% 10.1% 6.3% 3.5% 1.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 7.8% 8.3% 11.4% 16.2% 16.8% 13.8% 7.7%
Zach Earnshaw 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 5.0% 8.2% 10.0% 14.0% 18.2% 20.9% 14.0%
Asher Green 6.6% 5.7% 8.8% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 12.5% 13.9% 11.8% 6.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Matthew Collinson 2.1% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 8.5% 13.1% 18.3% 21.7% 17.9%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 1.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 11.6% 19.9% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.