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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+2.33vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+1.24vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+2.84vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.91+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38-0.75vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.67vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-1.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.25vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.24-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.05-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.24Fordham University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.84Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.11Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Pennsylvania2.130.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.84The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.99Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Carolina-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 20.7% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 22.3% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 18.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| Matthew Collinson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| Thomas Gallant | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.