Race 9A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 13.2% 12.3% 14.0% 14.6% 14.0% 11.1% 10.1% 5.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Sophia Devling 20.2% 19.2% 18.0% 15.5% 9.5% 7.8% 5.7% 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.2% 6.9% 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 12.8% 13.9% 12.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Noah Kuzloski 4.9% 5.7% 8.7% 9.1% 12.2% 12.9% 12.5% 10.8% 11.2% 8.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Jacob Zils 20.8% 20.7% 16.4% 13.0% 11.6% 7.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 17.1% 17.5% 15.1% 13.8% 12.0% 11.2% 7.0% 3.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 12.1% 14.3% 15.7% 15.2% 7.6%
Asher Green 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 13.0% 13.0% 10.1% 7.0% 2.9% 1.2%
Matthew Collinson 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 4.3% 7.9% 10.3% 11.9% 19.8% 22.4% 13.7%
Thomas Gallant 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 4.9% 6.7% 10.5% 17.0% 50.3%
Richard Kalich 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.9% 5.0% 7.1% 8.5% 11.9% 15.7% 14.9% 16.3% 10.1%
Zach Earnshaw 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 6.2% 9.2% 14.4% 17.8% 21.1% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.