Race 10A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Zils 21.3% 17.2% 18.9% 15.2% 10.7% 8.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 16.8% 16.7% 15.6% 13.7% 13.1% 9.9% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 20.9% 18.9% 16.3% 13.3% 12.8% 8.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 5.0% 6.2% 6.7% 11.2% 10.2% 11.6% 12.9% 14.4% 10.4% 8.0% 2.5% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.6% 8.3% 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 12.7% 13.4% 8.9% 8.7% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Rayne Duff 13.1% 14.9% 12.5% 14.2% 13.7% 11.9% 9.1% 5.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 6.1% 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 11.9% 10.7% 12.3% 13.9% 10.4% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1%
Kenneth Buck 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 7.2% 8.8% 13.2% 14.8% 16.5% 14.1% 7.8%
Zach Earnshaw 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.1% 5.5% 8.3% 9.5% 13.8% 17.6% 21.3% 14.0%
Richard Kalich 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 2.3% 4.9% 6.7% 9.2% 11.6% 17.2% 15.5% 14.7% 7.9%
Matthew Collinson 1.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.3% 7.3% 8.2% 12.5% 16.8% 22.3% 18.3%
Thomas Gallant 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 2.4% 2.5% 4.6% 4.8% 10.9% 20.4% 49.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.