Race 11A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 14.3% 13.2% 15.1% 16.3% 13.4% 12.1% 8.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Jacob Zils 21.0% 22.3% 16.6% 14.1% 12.7% 6.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 22.2% 18.2% 17.9% 14.7% 10.7% 10.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 17.3% 18.3% 18.1% 13.4% 13.1% 9.1% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Asher Green 6.2% 6.0% 8.7% 10.6% 12.8% 12.3% 14.5% 11.6% 8.4% 5.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 11.9% 12.6% 14.4% 13.7% 10.2% 6.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 6.0% 8.9% 11.2% 13.7% 14.8% 13.7% 11.6% 6.3%
Jeremy Lunati 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 4.3% 8.4% 10.0% 12.6% 17.1% 18.6% 14.4%
Matthew Collinson 1.2% 2.3% 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 5.4% 9.8% 11.7% 14.6% 17.0% 18.0% 12.0%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.1% 5.2% 9.2% 10.5% 16.8% 45.8%
Zach Earnshaw 2.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 6.9% 6.9% 11.3% 13.0% 18.0% 17.4% 15.2%
Richard Kalich 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 7.3% 10.7% 15.0% 16.3% 14.1% 13.9% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.