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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.69+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92-0.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.48+2.65vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.24+2.45vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+2.29vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.97vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-2.38vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.29+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.57-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-3.38vs Predicted
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15Marquette University1.50+0.16vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.38-3.33vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon2.76-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.46-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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3.92Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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12.96Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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15.16Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.67Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 21.3% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ted Green | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Mallory Schluter | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| David Johnston | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 33.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.