Race 12A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Woodworth 17.4% 15.4% 17.4% 16.8% 12.7% 9.6% 5.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.4% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 7.4% 9.6% 9.5% 14.1% 14.3% 15.3% 12.0% 5.8%
Rayne Duff 14.7% 13.5% 15.8% 13.8% 14.1% 13.4% 8.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Zils 20.6% 23.4% 16.7% 14.4% 11.3% 7.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 9.0% 12.3% 13.8% 14.9% 11.1% 9.8% 4.9% 2.8% 0.6%
Matthew Collinson 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 7.6% 9.5% 14.2% 17.2% 20.0% 13.3%
Zach Earnshaw 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 5.5% 9.8% 10.9% 13.9% 14.6% 18.3% 13.2%
Sophia Devling 22.4% 20.0% 17.2% 14.5% 10.0% 8.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Lunati 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 4.1% 5.8% 9.4% 12.9% 15.4% 16.7% 17.1% 11.5%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.0% 8.8% 11.9% 12.4% 12.9% 13.1% 13.5% 9.9% 5.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 2.7% 2.3% 2.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.8% 9.5% 14.9% 15.1% 14.7% 11.9% 8.3%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 1.4% 3.9% 4.4% 7.9% 11.9% 16.9% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.