Race 1B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 19.5% 16.8% 18.4% 14.6% 12.3% 9.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Majernik 14.9% 17.5% 15.3% 14.8% 13.9% 10.2% 7.5% 3.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 24.4% 20.2% 17.4% 13.0% 13.1% 6.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 13.7% 16.7% 15.2% 14.7% 14.6% 11.2% 7.0% 4.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 10.2% 11.8% 14.0% 15.6% 14.8% 9.1% 2.5%
Jasper Waldman 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 8.8% 7.6% 11.0% 14.5% 17.4% 12.4% 8.8% 3.8% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 7.9% 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 12.5% 13.6% 14.6% 10.8% 6.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.1%
John Cabell 7.3% 6.5% 8.6% 9.3% 9.9% 13.5% 13.3% 13.6% 10.4% 4.3% 2.9% 0.4%
cole capizzo 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 3.9% 3.3% 7.8% 10.2% 14.3% 21.9% 24.2% 8.3%
Henry Parker 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 2.7% 5.5% 6.3% 12.5% 17.1% 18.4% 21.3% 6.1%
Austin Latimer 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 4.6% 6.4% 8.6% 14.4% 21.2% 24.6% 11.1%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 6.3% 12.3% 71.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.