Race 2B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 14.5% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 14.9% 10.5% 8.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Lauren Ehnot 19.3% 20.0% 16.3% 16.3% 10.6% 8.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 8.4% 7.1% 9.2% 11.1% 11.5% 15.1% 13.9% 12.8% 7.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
John Cabell 4.5% 6.2% 8.6% 9.5% 13.6% 13.9% 12.5% 11.8% 11.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Lucas Thress 23.8% 22.0% 18.2% 12.6% 9.9% 6.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Majernik 16.7% 16.2% 16.4% 13.5% 13.1% 11.7% 6.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 3.5% 4.3% 3.6% 5.3% 7.8% 8.7% 10.9% 15.4% 15.7% 13.5% 8.8% 2.5%
Jasper Waldman 5.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 11.8% 14.3% 14.2% 14.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.0%
Henry Parker 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 6.0% 8.9% 12.5% 16.2% 21.2% 19.2% 5.3%
Austin Latimer 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 6.6% 9.3% 14.3% 20.8% 25.5% 8.7%
cole capizzo 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 3.5% 3.5% 6.0% 9.5% 13.4% 20.6% 26.3% 11.6%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 6.2% 13.7% 70.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.