← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.81+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.60+3.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.83+1.91vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.01-1.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania1.61-1.58vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.68+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University0.34-1.05vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-0.34vs Predicted
-
10Washington College-0.87-1.41vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.87-2.22vs Predicted
-
12University of South Carolina-2.41-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13Cornell University1.810.2%1st Place
-
5.47Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.91University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
-
2.81Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
-
3.42University of Pennsylvania1.610.2%1st Place
-
8.31The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
5.95Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.88SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.59Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.78Webb Institute-0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.08University of South Carolina-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Ehnot | 22.5% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 28.0% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Majernik | 18.6% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 6.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Roeber | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 7.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 7.7% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 9.4% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.