Race 4B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Majernik 18.8% 17.3% 19.0% 17.0% 11.7% 8.5% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Ehnot 23.5% 21.1% 19.5% 12.9% 12.3% 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 28.6% 25.2% 17.0% 13.0% 8.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 7.3% 9.9% 11.7% 14.4% 15.1% 13.9% 11.7% 8.0% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Austin Latimer 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 2.3% 4.0% 6.9% 7.9% 11.2% 15.4% 15.7% 21.9% 8.5%
Thomas Roeber 3.9% 3.7% 5.3% 6.8% 8.0% 10.3% 13.0% 17.3% 13.0% 11.6% 5.9% 1.2%
Giovanni Perrotti 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 7.1% 8.7% 10.8% 15.1% 18.1% 19.6% 7.3%
cole capizzo 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.4% 7.6% 11.9% 13.5% 18.5% 19.3% 9.4%
Jasper Waldman 4.8% 5.7% 7.7% 11.8% 11.5% 14.7% 16.3% 11.9% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.2%
John Cabell 6.5% 8.6% 9.2% 11.5% 14.3% 13.2% 14.8% 10.9% 6.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Henry Parker 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.5% 4.4% 8.6% 8.1% 11.3% 16.6% 19.5% 16.1% 6.1%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 2.7% 2.8% 4.2% 6.3% 13.4% 67.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.