Race 5B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 19.4% 16.8% 17.7% 16.7% 12.6% 7.9% 5.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 14.2% 15.8% 15.7% 14.7% 13.8% 11.1% 7.4% 4.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Majernik 16.9% 16.1% 15.8% 13.1% 14.4% 12.0% 6.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 23.6% 23.4% 16.0% 14.6% 9.8% 6.3% 4.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.4% 4.1% 6.1% 8.7% 9.6% 11.8% 13.2% 14.8% 13.6% 8.8% 4.4% 0.5%
Gavin Sanborn 7.2% 9.1% 8.7% 10.6% 12.1% 13.0% 15.1% 11.3% 7.5% 4.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Henry Parker 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 6.1% 7.7% 11.4% 16.0% 19.1% 19.7% 7.3%
John Cabell 7.0% 6.3% 8.1% 9.5% 11.5% 13.2% 12.0% 14.4% 9.9% 5.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Thomas Roeber 2.4% 2.6% 4.8% 4.0% 7.3% 10.7% 13.6% 16.0% 16.2% 14.6% 6.8% 1.0%
Austin Latimer 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.5% 2.8% 3.6% 6.4% 8.8% 15.1% 19.9% 25.9% 8.9%
cole capizzo 1.8% 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 6.3% 9.8% 13.7% 21.0% 25.9% 11.4%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 5.5% 13.5% 70.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.