Race 6B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 18.7% 17.3% 17.9% 16.6% 12.5% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 14.1% 15.5% 15.9% 15.9% 13.1% 10.4% 7.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 8.0% 7.9% 9.8% 10.0% 12.3% 14.6% 13.9% 11.9% 8.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
John Majernik 16.3% 15.4% 16.3% 13.6% 14.9% 11.0% 6.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 24.6% 21.8% 16.8% 14.4% 9.4% 5.9% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 6.4% 5.7% 8.0% 13.0% 15.9% 17.8% 14.2% 7.1% 1.9%
John Cabell 5.9% 7.6% 8.2% 9.2% 11.4% 14.0% 13.7% 12.8% 9.2% 5.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Jasper Waldman 5.1% 5.5% 7.0% 7.0% 8.9% 12.7% 12.8% 14.1% 14.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0%
cole capizzo 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 3.5% 4.3% 8.1% 9.3% 14.6% 20.5% 26.2% 8.2%
Austin Latimer 0.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 6.6% 8.4% 14.6% 20.1% 26.3% 9.1%
Henry Parker 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 2.3% 4.1% 5.6% 7.0% 12.7% 13.3% 20.7% 21.3% 8.4%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 7.2% 12.0% 71.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.