Race 7B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 22.4% 18.9% 16.1% 14.9% 12.0% 7.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 3.2% 2.9% 5.6% 4.7% 7.1% 8.6% 9.3% 11.5% 18.0% 17.5% 10.0% 1.6%
Gavin Sanborn 9.0% 8.7% 8.7% 10.0% 12.3% 12.1% 12.6% 13.1% 7.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.1%
James Owen 7.0% 8.5% 10.6% 12.7% 11.4% 11.7% 13.0% 9.8% 7.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Jasper Waldman 4.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.0% 8.2% 11.2% 11.5% 14.3% 12.4% 10.5% 5.8% 0.9%
Everett Botwinick 17.4% 15.6% 16.2% 13.6% 12.8% 9.7% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Luu 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 11.2% 12.2% 11.1% 12.3% 8.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.1%
Andrew Tollefson 6.1% 5.9% 8.0% 7.3% 7.1% 9.6% 12.8% 12.9% 14.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.3%
John Majernik 19.1% 20.8% 15.5% 12.2% 11.6% 9.4% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 5.9% 6.9% 11.9% 19.1% 30.8% 9.8%
cole capizzo 2.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 5.2% 6.6% 10.8% 21.6% 30.1% 12.6%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 5.7% 12.2% 73.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.