Race 8B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 15.9% 15.7% 16.1% 16.3% 11.3% 9.5% 6.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
John Majernik 18.5% 18.2% 16.4% 13.6% 11.3% 8.1% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 9.5% 7.9% 10.7% 11.0% 11.5% 11.4% 13.0% 11.3% 7.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Lauren Ehnot 21.6% 22.9% 15.0% 12.4% 11.5% 8.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Owen 8.7% 8.0% 9.8% 10.5% 12.0% 13.2% 11.3% 10.0% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.2% 11.7% 11.5% 12.8% 13.2% 11.9% 5.0% 0.7%
Andrew Tollefson 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 9.8% 9.4% 11.9% 13.4% 11.8% 10.2% 6.3% 1.0%
Benjamin Luu 9.6% 7.9% 8.9% 10.3% 10.7% 11.7% 10.4% 12.3% 9.7% 5.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Thomas Roeber 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 12.0% 13.9% 14.8% 16.8% 9.1% 1.0%
cole capizzo 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 6.1% 5.5% 14.5% 16.9% 31.4% 10.6%
Austin Latimer 2.0% 1.2% 1.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.9% 7.4% 11.1% 22.0% 28.5% 12.7%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 5.0% 12.7% 73.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.