Race 9B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Owen 10.6% 9.6% 10.7% 12.7% 12.5% 12.4% 12.7% 8.3% 7.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 24.0% 20.8% 16.9% 14.0% 9.8% 6.5% 4.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pilar Cundey 16.4% 14.9% 16.1% 13.6% 13.5% 10.6% 7.0% 5.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 4.9% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 9.6% 12.0% 12.3% 12.9% 13.5% 7.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 9.7% 12.7% 11.8% 12.0% 10.4% 11.5% 12.0% 10.2% 5.9% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 10.4% 11.9% 12.6% 15.6% 12.6% 7.3% 1.8% 0.2%
John Cabell 9.1% 9.9% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 10.4% 11.7% 13.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Kaitlyn Scarcella 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 7.9% 12.2% 34.4% 33.7%
cole capizzo 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.9% 6.7% 12.5% 16.6% 25.6% 16.8% 5.3%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 3.7% 9.9% 23.7% 53.7%
Austin Latimer 1.9% 2.2% 1.4% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 5.8% 8.7% 17.6% 25.9% 18.3% 6.8%
Margaux Cowles 14.0% 13.8% 15.2% 12.2% 12.6% 11.4% 9.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.