Race 10B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 23.1% 19.7% 18.3% 13.3% 10.4% 7.7% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Pilar Cundey 15.2% 17.1% 13.9% 16.1% 10.3% 11.1% 7.7% 5.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 7.5% 5.4% 7.2% 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 15.0% 14.6% 13.3% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Gavin Sanborn 8.3% 12.1% 12.0% 13.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.3% 9.1% 7.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Margaux Cowles 14.0% 14.2% 15.8% 11.3% 14.2% 11.2% 7.9% 5.6% 3.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
James Owen 10.5% 10.8% 9.7% 12.2% 12.3% 13.7% 10.0% 11.6% 5.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
John Cabell 9.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.8% 12.3% 10.6% 13.3% 13.2% 7.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Jasper Waldman 7.1% 7.4% 7.6% 8.2% 10.0% 12.5% 12.3% 13.8% 12.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.2%
Austin Latimer 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 4.0% 4.8% 9.0% 9.6% 18.0% 26.6% 16.3% 3.8%
cole capizzo 1.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 9.1% 18.6% 26.0% 17.2% 5.7%
Ryan Kanter 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 2.4% 4.4% 9.6% 24.8% 54.1%
Kaitlyn Scarcella 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 13.5% 34.6% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.