Race 11B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margaux Cowles 10.6% 11.1% 12.0% 13.0% 14.3% 12.9% 10.5% 7.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 3.8% 5.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 11.5% 11.3% 14.4% 15.2% 10.2% 4.0% 0.6%
John Cabell 7.1% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 11.1% 13.9% 12.6% 12.0% 6.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Pilar Cundey 11.8% 13.1% 15.8% 13.3% 14.2% 10.5% 8.3% 7.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 4.8% 6.3% 5.2% 8.3% 8.5% 10.7% 12.3% 13.2% 14.2% 11.6% 4.2% 0.7%
Payne Donaldson 19.3% 16.9% 17.4% 14.1% 11.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 27.3% 22.8% 16.2% 11.7% 10.5% 5.8% 2.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 6.7% 7.0% 12.0% 24.2% 25.6% 8.9%
Gavin Sanborn 8.0% 9.3% 9.2% 13.6% 11.9% 11.5% 12.8% 12.1% 6.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.9% 6.5% 9.0% 9.7% 14.0% 17.8% 16.0% 8.8% 1.3%
Oliver Browne 1.5% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 4.5% 4.5% 8.9% 17.0% 36.6% 19.6%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 6.0% 16.3% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.