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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.87vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.69vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+1.70vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-0.64vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.48+0.68vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.14-0.85vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.39-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.50-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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2.69Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.7Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.36Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.68Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.15Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.9Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 47.8% | 28.8% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 21.6% | 29.4% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 5.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 13.6% | 17.3% | 24.6% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 15.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 9.1% |
| Peter Wall | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 54.6% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.