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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.85vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.69vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.05+0.32vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.74vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.39+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.50-0.32vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.14-1.78vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.48-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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2.69Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.32Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.74Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.91Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.22Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.58Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 47.7% | 30.1% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 22.2% | 27.5% | 24.4% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 14.3% | 18.0% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Peter Wall | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 53.7% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 24.0% | 16.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.