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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.87vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.85+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.50+2.67vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-0.66vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.54-2.28vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.48-0.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.14-1.82vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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4.74Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.34Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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2.72Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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5.64Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.18Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.84Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 48.7% | 28.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 5.1% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 13.0% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 21.3% | 27.4% | 25.0% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 16.1% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 10.9% |
| Peter Wall | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 22.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.