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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.85vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.85+2.75vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.05+0.32vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.50+0.74vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.14-0.85vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.30vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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4.75Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.32Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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2.68Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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5.74University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.15Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 48.2% | 28.6% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 14.3% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 21.4% | 28.3% | 25.3% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 24.6% | 16.7% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| Peter Wall | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 22.6% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.