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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.00vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.65vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.05+0.30vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14+1.16vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.85-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.50-0.32vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.39-0.10vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.48-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Wisconsin1.040.4%1st Place
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2.65Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.3Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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5.16Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.7Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.9Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.6Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 43.3% | 28.7% | 17.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.9% | 27.8% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 15.7% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 8.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| Peter Wall | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 54.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.