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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.64vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.14+2.12vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-0.68vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.48+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.50-0.30vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.39-0.09vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.85-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Wisconsin1.040.4%1st Place
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2.64Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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5.12Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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3.32Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.66Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.91Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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4.62Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 42.6% | 29.0% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.6% | 29.1% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 14.7% | 17.6% | 24.0% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 25.6% | 14.2% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 16.4% |
| Peter Wall | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 54.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.