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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.01vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.66vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.05+0.30vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.50+0.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.14-0.89vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.31vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin1.040.4%1st Place
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2.66Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.3Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.71Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.11Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 42.7% | 29.4% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.9% | 27.2% | 24.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 15.1% | 18.9% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 5.6% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 23.5% | 16.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 9.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 18.9% |
| Peter Wall | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.