Race 1A

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Black 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 4.7% 8.6% 9.2% 10.5% 12.9% 12.6% 12.9% 7.7%
Matthew Schon 14.2% 16.4% 13.9% 12.5% 13.7% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 12.6% 11.0% 11.5% 13.3% 10.5% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 6.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5%
Steven Pelissier 6.0% 6.7% 10.6% 9.7% 9.9% 11.1% 11.2% 10.2% 8.6% 8.3% 4.8% 2.9%
T. Max Bulger 8.0% 11.1% 10.0% 11.4% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 8.9% 7.9% 5.5% 4.0% 1.3%
Peter Pellegrini 28.7% 22.6% 17.0% 11.2% 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Rudkin 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% 10.0% 12.0% 13.7% 10.7% 9.6%
Ian Gilchrist 1.6% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 4.6% 4.4% 7.2% 7.5% 11.1% 18.0% 32.7%
Timothy Scanlon 9.0% 9.7% 13.2% 10.7% 12.3% 11.7% 10.0% 9.1% 6.5% 4.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Angus Page 4.8% 4.7% 5.9% 4.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.9% 10.7% 12.0% 12.3% 11.6% 8.3%
Zachary O'Brien 2.1% 1.9% 1.6% 3.0% 3.9% 4.3% 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 12.1% 20.9% 29.1%
Jacob Tronaas 4.4% 4.1% 3.8% 5.7% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 10.5% 13.0% 14.3% 13.0% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.