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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.00vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.65vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.05+0.29vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.39+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.50+0.72vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-1.35vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.14-1.79vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.48-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Wisconsin1.040.4%1st Place
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2.65Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.29Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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6.87Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.65Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.21Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.61Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 42.7% | 29.7% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.6% | 26.8% | 23.0% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 15.3% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Wall | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 52.4% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 24.8% | 16.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.7% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.