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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.77vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.54vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.79+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.50+1.57vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.14-0.01vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-1.52vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.46vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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2.54Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.38Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.99Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.48Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.54Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.74Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 52.7% | 27.4% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.2% | 32.6% | 23.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 16.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.0% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 17.1% |
| Peter Wall | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.