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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+0.76vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.85+2.51vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.54-0.51vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.79+0.43vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.14+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.50-0.47vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.46vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Wisconsin1.250.5%1st Place
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4.51Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.49Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.43Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.01Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.54Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.73Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 51.6% | 29.5% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.5% | 32.5% | 23.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 6.4% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.2% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 8.1% |
| Logan Hoang | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 16.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| Peter Wall | 0.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.