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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.50+3.59vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14+0.95vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79-0.63vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.54-3.54vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.48vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.39-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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5.59University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.42Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.95Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.37Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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2.46Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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5.52Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.76Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 47.1% | 28.0% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 7.6% |
| Eli Erling | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 25.7% | 31.6% | 23.5% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| Peter Wall | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.