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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+0.90vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.51vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+1.47vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14+0.97vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79-0.60vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.39+0.74vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.48-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.50-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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2.51Michigan Technological University0.540.3%1st Place
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4.47Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.97Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.4Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.74Marquette University-2.390.0%1st Place
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5.56Purdue University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Illinois-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 47.7% | 28.1% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 25.9% | 30.5% | 22.5% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 9.0% |
| Eli Erling | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Peter Wall | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 50.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| Logan Hoang | 2.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.