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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-1.08+1.28vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.73+1.69vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31-1.44vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.880.00vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-2.60-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.71-2.32vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.54-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Marquette University-1.080.4%1st Place
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4.69Purdue University-2.730.1%1st Place
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2.56Michigan Technological University-1.310.3%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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4.57Lake Forest College-2.600.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Illinois-2.710.1%1st Place
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4.23Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Hexter | 37.0% | 27.5% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Lily Rouget | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 27.1% | 28.8% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 25.7% |
| Juan Moya | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| Jack Morby | 6.9% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| John Riordan | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.