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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.73+3.62vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.08+0.27vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31-1.45vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.54-0.51vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-2.60-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.71-2.33vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.88-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Purdue University-2.730.1%1st Place
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2.27Marquette University-1.080.4%1st Place
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2.55Michigan Technological University-1.310.3%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University-2.540.1%1st Place
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4.54Lake Forest College-2.600.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Illinois-2.710.1%1st Place
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4.86Northwestern University-2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Rouget | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 35.7% | 29.3% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 29.4% | 26.7% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| John Riordan | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| Juan Moya | 7.2% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| Jack Morby | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.