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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.15vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.31+1.54vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.08+0.19vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.54+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.71+0.69vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-2.60-0.54vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.05vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.73-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.15University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.54Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.19Marquette University-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.42Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.46Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
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5.95Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.61Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.2% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.2% | 25.6% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 5.4% | 30.5% | 29.4% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Riordan | 0.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.8% |
| Jack Morby | 0.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 19.2% |
| Juan Moya | 1.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 28.0% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.