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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-2.54+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.95-0.87vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.08+0.20vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.71+0.71vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.73-0.31vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.03vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-2.60-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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1.13University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.2Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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3.55Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.97Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.39Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Riordan | 0.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| Sam Spencer | 88.2% | 10.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.7% | 32.5% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 2.4% | 25.7% | 28.6% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Morby | 1.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 21.1% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 28.7% |
| Juan Moya | 1.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.