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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.14vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-2.38+3.21vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.73+2.73vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.08-0.73vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.54+0.47vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.31-2.45vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.71-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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5.21Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
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5.73Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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3.27Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.47Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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3.55Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.99Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.4% | 11.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 11.9% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 22.7% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.3% | 29.6% | 28.6% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 15.8% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.6% | 24.6% | 26.8% | 20.6% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 28.5% |
| Jack Morby | 0.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.