Race 2A

south-series-7-salve-regina

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cecilia Strombeck 11.4% 10.7% 12.1% 12.4% 13.1% 12.4% 8.5% 7.8% 5.6% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Steven Pelissier 6.4% 7.5% 9.5% 10.3% 9.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.0% 10.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4%
Peter Pellegrini 28.3% 23.4% 16.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Gilchrist 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 2.5% 4.6% 6.6% 6.0% 10.5% 10.7% 19.6% 31.5%
Matthew Schon 15.0% 17.9% 14.5% 11.5% 11.1% 10.2% 7.6% 4.9% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 9.0% 8.9% 9.9% 10.5% 13.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.7% 6.6% 5.2% 3.4% 1.2%
Timothy Scanlon 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 12.0% 8.6% 10.9% 9.7% 10.8% 6.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Jacob Tronaas 5.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 9.8% 9.2% 10.5% 13.5% 12.3% 8.8%
Tyler Black 4.1% 3.3% 5.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.4% 11.2% 11.3% 12.6% 11.5% 6.8%
Alexander Rudkin 4.7% 4.4% 5.3% 6.5% 5.7% 7.5% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 11.7% 13.3% 8.1%
Angus Page 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 10.3% 12.3% 13.7% 11.1% 10.3%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 6.0% 7.2% 9.1% 13.8% 17.5% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.