← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.15vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-1.08+1.27vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Lake Forest College-2.38+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.54+0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-2.71-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-2.73-1.21vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-2.88-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.15University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
-
3.27Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
3.52Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
-
5.24Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
-
5.45Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
-
5.71University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
-
5.79Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
-
5.88Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 86.8% | 11.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.3% | 31.5% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.6% | 23.9% | 27.4% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 0.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| John Riordan | 0.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| Jack Morby | 1.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 22.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 23.6% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 0.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.