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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.13vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.31+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-2.71+2.70vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.54+1.48vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-2.38+0.19vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.08-2.75vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.00vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.73-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.13University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.59Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.48Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.19Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
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3.25Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.0Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.66Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 88.1% | 10.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.2% | 24.3% | 27.5% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Morby | 1.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| John Riordan | 0.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 0.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.3% | 30.7% | 28.3% | 19.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 28.7% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.