← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.14vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-1.31+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-2.54+2.45vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-1.08-0.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-2.71+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College-2.38-0.84vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-2.73-1.22vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-2.88-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.14University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
-
3.59Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
-
5.45Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
-
3.28Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.73University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
-
5.16Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
-
5.78Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
-
5.88Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.2% | 11.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.1% | 24.9% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| John Riordan | 1.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.3% | 30.8% | 26.7% | 20.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Morby | 0.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 20.1% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.6% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 23.7% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 0.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.