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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.14vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.45vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-2.60+1.46vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.73+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.71-0.43vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.09vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.77-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.19Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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3.45Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.46Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
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5.66Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.61Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.1% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.3% | 32.5% | 29.0% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.7% | 24.6% | 28.2% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Juan Moya | 0.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 18.5% |
| Jack Morby | 1.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 26.9% |
| Caroline Bielski | 0.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.